Dynamics of the thirty-year moving average values of the air temperature in Tbilisi and St.-Petersburg with 1851 to 2010 and their extrapolation to 2051-2080.

Amiranashvili, A.; Chargazia, Kh.; Trofimenko, L. A.

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://openlibrary.ge/handle/123456789/5200

Title:	Dynamics of the thirty-year moving average values of the air temperature in Tbilisi and St.-Petersburg with 1851 to 2010 and their extrapolation to 2051-2080.
Authors:	Amiranashvili, A. Chargazia, Kh. Trofimenko, L. A.
Keywords:	გეოფიზიკა;კლიმატის ცვლილება;კონფერენციის შრომები;ჰაერის ტემპერატურა;ტემპერატურის ცვლილების პროგნოზირება
Issue Date:	2015
Citation:	International Conference “Applied Ecology: Problems, Innovations”, ICAE-2015. Tbilisi-Batumi, Georgia, ISBN 978-9941-0-7644-2, 7-10 May, 2015, Tbilisi, 2015, pp. 12-16, http://icae-2015.tsu.ge
Description:	On the basis of 100-years (1907-2006) and 163-years (1850-2012) time-series of observations the analysis of the dynamics of the changeability of the average annual air temperature in Tbilisi and St.- Petersburg was carried out. Prognostic calculations showed that in 2051-2080 the average annual air temperature in Tbilisi is expected 14.0±0.4 ºС (ARIMA) and 14.8±1.4 ºС (EXPERTMODELER) against 13.7 ºС in 1981-2010, while in St.-Petersburg - 6.4±0.4 ºС (ARIMA) and 8.6±4.0 ºС (EXPERTMODELER) against 5.8 ºС in 1981-2010. The comparative analysis of the indicated results with the obtained earlier prognostic estimations of the air temperature in Tbilisi, St.-Petersburg, and also its mean global values is carried out
URI:	http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/5200
Appears in Collections:	სამეცნიერო კონფერენციების მასალები - Материалы научных конференций - Materials of scientific conferences

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